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    The Conservative Party

    The Government has released a redacted version of its Yellow Hammer documents this evening in response to calls for them to be made public by MP's.

    The 5 page document available here, details how failure to secure a deal with the EU would impact the country.

    The newly released dossier represents the worst case scenario after a no-deal Brexit.

    It confirms that there would be shortages of medicines, 'certain food items - not all' as well as fuel. Electricity prices would be affected too as would the cost of food, which would inevitably affect those in vulnerable financial situations.

    There will be no food shortages as such but there would be a reduction in the choice of products available in high street shops.

    There is also mention of civil unrest and public disorder within the country, border delays as well as illegal fishing boats in UK waters.

    Border delays would be expected at ports but they are estimated to last just three months before things start to once more normalise. 



    'Disruption to flow across the short Channel Straits would also cause significant queues in Kent and delays to HGVs attempting to use the routes to travel to France.

    'In a reasonable worst-case scenario, HGVs could face maximum delays of 1.5-2.5 days before being able to cross the border.'


    It also makes note of the expected impact upon travel to and from the EU, with added checks being put into place which would cause delays at arrivals and departures at EU airports and ports.

    The cost of electricity would likely increase too which will bring huge concerns to those who are already being hit in the pocket by ever escalating prices as it is. Fuel poverty is already a huge fact for many in the UK and this would only exacerbate an already challenging situation.

    Resources could be impacted in other areas too and they could become stretched. As we head into an uncertain winter flu season some medicinal products could be in short supply due to delays at the borders. This could have a considerable impact on public health and may leave vulnerable people exposed.

    The most damaging aspect is that financial services would be hit as some companies are not fully ready to cope in the wake of a no-deal, with others totally unprepared. Some financial forecasters are saying that this could have adverse effects on the UK economy which would last for up to a decade or more.

    Public protests and counter protests are also to be expected.



    'Protests and counter-protests will take place across the UK and may absorb significant amounts of police resources.

    'There may also be a rise in public disorder and community tensions.'


    In all the document features 20 key planning assumptions, one of which is partially redacted.

    The Shadow Brexit secretary Sir Keir Starmer said:



    "These documents confirm the severe risks of a no-deal Brexit, which Labour has worked so hard to block.

    "It is completely irresponsible for the Government to have tried to ignore these stark warnings and prevent the public from seeing the evidence.

    "Boris Johnson must now admit that he has been dishonest with the British people about the consequence of a no-deal Brexit.

    "It is also now more important than ever that Parliament is recalled and has the opportunity to scrutinise these documents and take all steps necessary to stop no deal."


    It should be remembered that this document represents the worst cases scenario that is expected, it does not necessarily mean that things will be as bad as predicted, although we can never fully rule out that things could get considerably worse.

    Edited by KARL

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